$5.6 Billion Capital Inflows in Q1 2025 Signal Renewed Investor Confidence in Nigeria

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Olori Uwem

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Mar 18, 2024
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$5.6 Billion Capital Inflows in Q1 2025 Signal Renewed Investor Confidence in Nigeria

Nigeria is attracting renewed attention from global investors, as the country recorded a total capital importation of $5.64 billion in the first quarter of 2025, marking a massive 67.12% increase compared to the $3.38 billion recorded in Q1 2024. This is according to the Q1 2025 Capital Importation Report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

Compared to Q4 2024, when Nigeria received $5.09 billion in capital inflows, this represents a 10.86% quarter-on-quarter growth — a signal of growing momentum in investor activity and faith in the country’s economic direction.

Portfolio Investment Leads the Charge

The bulk of the capital inflow came from portfolio investments, which accounted for a staggering 92.25% of total inflows — amounting to $5.2 billion. These are typically short-term investments in equities and bonds.

Other categories included:
• Other Investments: $311.17 million (5.52%)
• Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): $126.29 million (2.24%)

While FDI remains low, experts stress that it’s essential to focus on attracting more long-term investments that create jobs and infrastructure.

Sectoral Performance: Banks & Financing Dominate

The banking sector emerged as the biggest beneficiary, receiving $3.13 billion, which represents 55.44% of the total inflows. The financing sector followed closely with $2.1 billion (37.18%).

The manufacturing/production sector, however, lagged behind, attracting just $129.92 million — a modest 2.3% of the total, highlighting a need to bolster investments in Nigeria’s real economy.

Where the Capital Came From
• United Kingdom: Led all sources with 65.26% of the total inflow.
• South Africa: Contributed 8.88% ($501.29 million).
• Mauritius: Brought in 6.99% ($394.51 million).

This points to a strong Western and regional confidence in Nigeria’s reform efforts and market potential.

Destination States for Capital Inflows

Out of five states that received capital:
• Abuja (FCT) attracted the most with $3.05 billion (54.11%).
• Lagos followed with $2.56 billion (45.44%).

This highlights the continued dominance of Nigeria’s financial and political capitals as preferred investment destinations.

Banks Driving Capital Imports
• Standard Chartered Bank Nigeria processed the highest share with $2.1 billion (37.29%).
• Stanbic IBTC followed with $1.4 billion (24.78%).
• Citibank Nigeria came next at $1.05 billion (18.7%).

These banks served as key gateways for global capital entering the Nigerian economy.

Analysts: This Is More Than Just a Number

Independent investor Amaechi Egbo described the inflow as a “turning point” for Nigeria’s economic narrative. He believes the numbers reflect:
• Increased investor confidence
• Effectiveness of recent reforms
• A deepening faith in Nigerian institutions and companies

Egbo credited the gains to ongoing fiscal and monetary reforms, especially:
• The liberalisation of the foreign exchange market
• The unification of the naira exchange rate

These changes, he said, are helping build a transparent and investor-friendly environment, even if they initially caused short-term pain.


What This Means for the Broader Economy

Uwem Olubummo, Team Lead at InvestingPort’s Finance Research Department, emphasized that:
• The rise shows consistency, not a one-off spike.
• This could mark the beginning of a more stable and sustained capital inflow era.

She pointed out several economic benefits:
• Higher FX availability, helping to stabilize the naira.
• More liquidity in the financial system, boosting business and infrastructure investments.
• Improved investor sentiment, supporting productivity and job creation.

However, she raised an important caveat: What kind of capital is Nigeria attracting?
• FDI brings infrastructure, jobs, and long-term growth.
• Portfolio investments, while useful, are volatile and can exit quickly.


⚠️ Experts Urge Caution & Continued Reforms

While celebrating the inflow, both Egbo and Olubummo warned against complacency.

They called on the government to:
• Deepen ongoing reforms
• Invest in infrastructure
• Ensure legal and regulatory clarity
• Protect and reward investor capital


Final Word: A Vote of Confidence — But Also a Call to Action

Moses Igbrude, President of the Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria, summed it up: this capital inflow is a signal of foreign confidence returning to Nigeria.

But turning this momentum into lasting prosperity requires:
• Stability in policy
• Long-term investor engagement
• Efforts to convert short-term gains into meaningful development

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