Book Review: The Most Important Thing by Howard Marks
Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
Howard Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital, is one of the most respected voices in value investing. His book The Most Important Thing isn’t a step-by-step guide but rather a collection of timeless principles that shape how great investors think.
Below are the key concepts explained:
1️⃣ Second-Level Thinking
• Most people (first-level thinkers) see things simply: “Good company = Buy.”
• Second-level thinkers dig deeper: What is already priced into the stock? What do others expect? What could go differently?
• This deeper thinking creates the edge in investing.
Lesson: Don’t just follow the crowd — think deeper than the obvious.
2️⃣ Understanding Risk ⚖️
• Marks emphasizes that risk isn’t volatility; it’s the chance of permanent loss.
• Good investors focus not just on potential returns, but on the downside risk.
• Controlling risk is more important than chasing high returns.
Lesson: Always ask, “What could go wrong?” before investing.
3️⃣ The Role of Luck
• Success in investing is never 100% skill. Market timing and outcomes often involve chance events.
• Wise investors stay humble, acknowledging luck’s role, and avoid overconfidence.
Lesson: Don’t mistake luck for genius — manage humility in wins and resilience in losses.
4️⃣ Value vs. Price
• A stock isn’t a “good” or “bad” investment by itself. The question is: What price are you paying?
• Even the best company can be a poor investment if overpriced.
• The best opportunities come when prices fall far below intrinsic value.
Lesson: Always compare value vs. price — “It’s not what you buy, it’s what you pay.”
5️⃣ Cycles of Markets
• Markets move in cycles — boom and bust .
• Smart investors recognize where we are in the cycle and adjust strategies accordingly.
• Greed dominates in booms, fear dominates in busts.
Lesson: Don’t get swept away by emotions; be cautious in booms and bold in busts.
6️⃣ Defensive Investing ️
• Marks stresses the importance of protecting your capital first.
• This means diversifying, focusing on safety, and being patient.
• Great investors survive the bad times — not just thrive in good times.
Lesson: Play strong defense — capital preservation is the first rule.
7️⃣ The Importance of Patience ⏳
• Investment success often comes slowly.
• Many investors fail because they want fast results and over-trade.
• Patience allows you to wait for the right opportunities and hold through volatility.
Lesson: Time in the market > timing the market.
8️⃣ Contrarian Thinking
• Marks highlights that the greatest opportunities lie in going against the crowd.
• When others are overly fearful, bargains appear. When others are greedy, risks rise.
Lesson: “The biggest profits come from buying what others are selling and selling what others are buying.”
9️⃣ Margin of Safety
• Borrowed from Benjamin Graham, this means buying with a cushion.
• If you buy a stock at N80 when it’s worth N100, you have room for error if things don’t go perfectly.
• A margin of safety protects you from surprises.
Lesson: Never invest without a margin of safety.
The Role of Humility
• Investors can never predict the market with certainty.
• Humility means accepting mistakes quickly, learning, and adapting.
• Overconfidence is one of the biggest causes of losses.
Lesson: Stay humble and adaptable — markets punish arrogance.
Final Thoughts
Howard Marks’ book is a guide to mindset, not formulas. His “most important things” are reminders that successful investing is about:
✔️ Thinking differently
✔️ Managing risk ⚖️
✔️ Being patient ⏳
✔️ Staying humble
✔️ Taking advantage of cycles
It’s a book every investor — beginner or advanced — should read, revisit, and reflect on often.
✨ Why Your Should Read It:
The Nigerian and global markets are full of noise, The Most Important Thing teaches us to stay grounded in principles, not hype.
It’s not just about picking stocks — it’s about thinking like an investor.
Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
Howard Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital, is one of the most respected voices in value investing. His book The Most Important Thing isn’t a step-by-step guide but rather a collection of timeless principles that shape how great investors think.
Below are the key concepts explained:
1️⃣ Second-Level Thinking
• Most people (first-level thinkers) see things simply: “Good company = Buy.”
• Second-level thinkers dig deeper: What is already priced into the stock? What do others expect? What could go differently?
• This deeper thinking creates the edge in investing.
Lesson: Don’t just follow the crowd — think deeper than the obvious.
2️⃣ Understanding Risk ⚖️
• Marks emphasizes that risk isn’t volatility; it’s the chance of permanent loss.
• Good investors focus not just on potential returns, but on the downside risk.
• Controlling risk is more important than chasing high returns.
Lesson: Always ask, “What could go wrong?” before investing.
3️⃣ The Role of Luck
• Success in investing is never 100% skill. Market timing and outcomes often involve chance events.
• Wise investors stay humble, acknowledging luck’s role, and avoid overconfidence.
Lesson: Don’t mistake luck for genius — manage humility in wins and resilience in losses.
4️⃣ Value vs. Price
• A stock isn’t a “good” or “bad” investment by itself. The question is: What price are you paying?
• Even the best company can be a poor investment if overpriced.
• The best opportunities come when prices fall far below intrinsic value.
Lesson: Always compare value vs. price — “It’s not what you buy, it’s what you pay.”
5️⃣ Cycles of Markets
• Markets move in cycles — boom and bust .
• Smart investors recognize where we are in the cycle and adjust strategies accordingly.
• Greed dominates in booms, fear dominates in busts.
Lesson: Don’t get swept away by emotions; be cautious in booms and bold in busts.
6️⃣ Defensive Investing ️
• Marks stresses the importance of protecting your capital first.
• This means diversifying, focusing on safety, and being patient.
• Great investors survive the bad times — not just thrive in good times.
Lesson: Play strong defense — capital preservation is the first rule.
7️⃣ The Importance of Patience ⏳
• Investment success often comes slowly.
• Many investors fail because they want fast results and over-trade.
• Patience allows you to wait for the right opportunities and hold through volatility.
Lesson: Time in the market > timing the market.
8️⃣ Contrarian Thinking
• Marks highlights that the greatest opportunities lie in going against the crowd.
• When others are overly fearful, bargains appear. When others are greedy, risks rise.
Lesson: “The biggest profits come from buying what others are selling and selling what others are buying.”
9️⃣ Margin of Safety
• Borrowed from Benjamin Graham, this means buying with a cushion.
• If you buy a stock at N80 when it’s worth N100, you have room for error if things don’t go perfectly.
• A margin of safety protects you from surprises.
Lesson: Never invest without a margin of safety.
The Role of Humility
• Investors can never predict the market with certainty.
• Humility means accepting mistakes quickly, learning, and adapting.
• Overconfidence is one of the biggest causes of losses.
Lesson: Stay humble and adaptable — markets punish arrogance.
Final Thoughts
Howard Marks’ book is a guide to mindset, not formulas. His “most important things” are reminders that successful investing is about:
✔️ Thinking differently
✔️ Managing risk ⚖️
✔️ Being patient ⏳
✔️ Staying humble
✔️ Taking advantage of cycles
It’s a book every investor — beginner or advanced — should read, revisit, and reflect on often.
✨ Why Your Should Read It:
The Nigerian and global markets are full of noise, The Most Important Thing teaches us to stay grounded in principles, not hype.
It’s not just about picking stocks — it’s about thinking like an investor.