DANGOTE GROUP’s STOCK PERFORMANCE AND THE MERGER DENIAL

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Olori Uwem

Member
Mar 18, 2024
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DANGOTE GROUP’s STOCK PERFORMANCE AND THE MERGER DENIAL

1. Stock Price Decline:
- Dangote Sugar Refinery: The stock price dropped by 18.67% from N45.00 to N36.60 between May and August 2024. This decline is attributed to supply chain disruptions and volatile sugar prices, which negatively impacted the company’s financial performance.
- NASCON Allied Industries: Experienced a 12.57% decline in stock price from N37.00 to N32.45 over the same period. The downturn is linked to similar issues affecting Dangote Sugar.
- Dangote Cement: Contrarily, the stock price rose by 41% from N419 in May to N591 by early August 2024, indicating a positive performance amidst broader market challenges.

2. Merger Denial:
- Merger Proposal: NASCON Allied Industries had proposed a merger with Dangote Sugar Refinery and Dangote Rice Limited. However, this merger was suspended due to objections from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
- SEC’s Concerns: The SEC's concerns centered on the non-operational status of Dangote Rice Limited, which played a role in the decision to reject the merger. NASCON announced this suspension in an April statement and expressed appreciation to its stakeholders.

3. Financial and Market Pressures:
- Foreign Exchange Losses: Analysts pointed to ongoing forex volatility and the depreciation of the naira as significant challenges, increasing the cost of importing raw materials and squeezing profit margins.
- Inflation: Inflationary pressures and high interest rates have further strained the manufacturing sector, affecting companies like Dangote Sugar and NASCON.

4. Shareholders' and Analysts' Views:
- Bisi Bakare: Stated that the decline in Dangote Group’s subsidiaries’ stock prices is part of broader manufacturing sector challenges. Issues include foreign exchange losses, high costs of raw materials, and energy costs.
- Ariyo Olugbosun: Linked the stock price declines primarily to the SEC’s merger denial, which diminished investor interest and compounded stock price fluctuations.
- Boniface Okezie: Commented on the market trends affecting Dangote Cement and emphasized the need for resolving regulatory issues to attract foreign investment. He noted that the Dangote refinery project’s performance is not yet assessable due to its non-operational status.
 
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