MICROSOFT TO REPORT FISCAL Q4 EARNINGS AS WALL STREET EYES AI REVENUE AND SPENDING

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Amara

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Jul 18, 2024
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Microsoft (MSFT) will report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday. Wall Street is keen to see if the significant investments in AI by Big Tech firms, including Microsoft, are yielding returns.

For the quarter, Microsoft is expected to report:
Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.94
Revenue: $64.5 billion
In the same period last year,

Microsoft reported:
EPS: $2.69
Revenue: $56.2 billion

Cloud Revenue is anticipated to be:
Total Cloud Revenue: $36.8 billion
Intelligent Cloud Revenue (including Azure): $28.7 billion

Microsoft previously reported AI services contributed to growth in Azure and other cloud services

Revenues:
Q4 last year: 1 percentage point
Q1: 3 percentage points
Q2: 6 percentage points
Q3: 7 percentage points

Stock Performance:
Year-to-Date (YTD) Increase: 13%
Current Price at Close (July 29, 2024): $426.73 (+1.46, +0.34%)
Pre-market Price (July 30, 2024): $426.00 (-0.73, -0.17%)

Comparisons and Market Context:
Google's parent company, Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), reported increased cloud revenue partly due to AI interest. However, it did not provide specific AI impact numbers. UBS Global Research analyst Stephen Ju predicts AI revenue benefits for Google may not appear until the first half of 2025.

Alphabet's Stock Performance YTD: +22%
Amazon's Stock Performance YTD: +23%

Analyst Insights:
Wedbush Analyst Dan Ives: Notes strong momentum in AI-related cloud deal flow for Azure, predicting continued strength into 2024 and 2025.

UBS Global Research Analyst Karl Keirstead: Highlights Microsoft's market share gains over Google and Amazon due to its early AI lead.

Capital Expenditures:
Microsoft Q3 Capex: $14 billion, primarily for AI infrastructure.

Alphabet Q2 Capex: $13 billion, up from $12 billion, mostly for AI.

Upcoming Reports:
Amazon (AMZN): Scheduled to report earnings on August 1.