PAYPAL LIFTS 2024 PROFIT FORECAST FOR SECOND TIME AS SPENDING HOLDS UP, MARGINS IMPROVE

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Amara

Member
Jul 18, 2024
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Overview:
PayPal (PYPL) raised its forecast for full-year adjusted profit for the second time in 2024, betting on resilient consumer spending during the back-to-school and upcoming holiday shopping seasons. The company also improved margins through significant cost-cutting measures.

Stock Performance:
At Close (4:00 PM EDT): $58.94 (+0.65, +1.12%)
Pre-market (7:33 AM EDT): $61.79 (+2.85, +4.84%)

Key Financial Highlights:
Total Payment Volumes: Increased by 11% to $416.81 billion in Q2.
Net Revenue: Climbed 9% to $7.89 billion on an FX-neutral basis.
Operating Margins: Expanded by 231 basis points to 18.5% in Q2.
Transaction Margin Dollars: Rose 8% to $3.61 billion in Q2.

Consumer Spending:
American consumers have remained resilient despite higher interest rates. While some rival payment firms expressed concerns about increased pressure on lower-income brackets, the sector experienced steady growth in transaction volumes.

Cost-Cutting Measures:
Under CEO Alex Chriss, PayPal focused on improving operating margins by restructuring, aggressively cutting costs, and reducing its headcount. In January, the company announced plans to cut about 2,500 jobs, or 9% of its global workforce.

Profit Forecast:
2024 Adjusted Profit Growth: Now expected to be in the "low to mid-teens percentage," up from the April forecast of "mid-to-high single-digit" growth.

Q3 Revenue Growth: Anticipated to grow by a "mid-single-digit percentage," below Wall Street expectations of around 7.5% (according to LSEG data).

Sector Competition:
The entry of Big Tech companies such as Apple (AAPL) and Alphabet (GOOG) into the digital payments space has increased competition, impacting PayPal's market share. Despite growth in unbranded businesses, weakness in branded businesses like Venmo has affected the stock.

Strategic Focus:
CEO Alex Chriss aims to increase revenue beyond purely transaction-related volumes and make the fintech company leaner.

Earnings Report:
Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS): Rose to $1.19 for the three months ended June 30, compared to 87 cents a year ago.

This summary reflects PayPal's strategic initiatives, resilient consumer spending, and improved financial metrics, highlighting the company's optimistic outlook despite competitive pressures and market challenges.