Stock Analysis- Dangote Cement: The Backbone of Nigeria’s Cement Industry

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Olori Uwem

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Mar 18, 2024
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Stock Analysis- Dangote Cement: The Backbone of Nigeria’s Cement Industry

Company Overview

Industry: Production and Sale of Portland Cement

Ticker Symbol: DANGCEM

Listing Date: October 26, 2010

ISIN: NGDANGCEM008

Market Leadership:

• Market Capitalization: NGN 8.16 trillion

• Represents 12.8% of the Nigerian Stock Exchange’s equity market.

• Stock Price: NGN 478.80

• Shares Outstanding: 17 billion

Dangote Cement Plc is a Nigerian multinational cement manufacturer headquartered in Lagos and a subsidiary of the Dangote Group. It is the most valuable company on the NGX and the largest company by market capitalization.

History and Operations

• Founded: 1992 as Obajana Cement Plc, renamed Dangote Cement Plc in July 2010.

• Founder: Aliko Dangote, with cement making up about 80% of Dangote Group’s business.

• Production Capacity: 52.0 million tonnes per year, with plants or import terminals in Nigeria and nine other African countries.

• Scope: Dangote Cement leads Sub-Saharan Africa in cement production.

2024 Q3 Financial Performance

• Total Revenue: NGN 800.52 billion

• Gross Profit: NGN 391.01 billion

• Operating Income: NGN 191.69 billion

• Net Income: NGN 88.64 billion

• EPS (Earnings Per Share): NGN 26.96

• Dividend: NGN 30 per share (paid May 31, 2024)

• Dividend Yield: 6.27%

Balance Sheet:

• Total Assets: NGN 5.54 trillion

• Total Liabilities: NGN 3.37 trillion

Technical Insights

• Stock Rating:

• Mixed signals for short-term trading (some indicators suggest a sell).

• Favorable outlook for long-term investors (neutral to buy).

• Price Target Forecast:

• Average: NGN 462.6

• Range: NGN 385.9 to NGN 532.3 (over a 12-month period).

Strengths

1. Market Dominance: Largest cement producer in Sub-Saharan Africa.

2. Efficient Operations: Cost-effective production due to proximity to natural resources.

3. Dividend Payouts: Attractive annual dividends, boosting investor confidence.

Weaknesses

1. Market Concentration: Heavy reliance on Nigerian operations.

2. Geographic Limitations: Predominantly focused on Africa, limiting global reach.

Opportunities

1. Growing Cement Demand: Infrastructure development across Africa.

2. Energy Efficiency: Transition to cleaner energy sources through partnerships.

3. Market Expansion: Potential to enter new regions outside Africa.

Threats

1. Economic Instability: Vulnerable to Nigeria’s economic fluctuations.

2. Regulatory Risks: Potential impact of stringent regulations in operating countries.

3. Competition: Increasing presence of global players in the African cement market.


Recent Developments (2024–2025)

Key Achievements

1. Financial Growth: 69.1% increase in group revenue and a 37.1% increase in EBITDA in Q3 2024.

2. Production Expansion: Target to produce 61 million tonnes of cement by the end of 2024.

Corporate Social Responsibility

• Bursary Payments: Doubled to NGN 22,800 for host communities in Benue State.

Sustainability Initiatives

• CNG Partnership: Collaboration with Tetracore Energy for Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) to power logistics operations, supporting Nigeria’s clean energy goals.

Conclusion

Dangote Cement remains a cornerstone of Nigeria’s industrial sector and a critical player in Africa’s cement market. With robust financials, strategic initiatives, and strong market presence, it holds immense potential for long-term growth while presenting exciting opportunities for investors.