Top Analyst Puts Nvidia Stock on Key List After $500 Million Slump

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Amara

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Jul 18, 2024
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Nvidia (NVDA) shares experienced a notable rebound in early Wednesday trading, buoyed by strong Q2 earnings from AMD and an optimistic research note from Morgan Stanley.

Nvidia, which saw a significant market value loss of nearly $500 million this month—its worst performance in almost two years—has faced investor concerns over AI chip sales and supply-chain challenges. However, Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore views the recent stock pullback as an attractive entry point for investors, reiterating a $144 price target and an overweight rating.

Key Points:
Recent Performance and Market Concerns:
Nvidia shares have been under pressure due to investor apprehensions about AI chip sales and potential delays in orders for its older H100 chips.

Major customers like Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Amazon are expected to slow their capital spending, which has contributed to the stock's decline.

Supply-chain disruptions and heightened competition from AMD's new MI300X GPUs have further weighed on Nvidia's market sentiment.

Positive Outlook and Analyst Support:
Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore highlights the current stock pullback as a favorable buying opportunity, adding Nvidia to the bank's Top Pick list.

Moore's team emphasizes that customer commitment to AI development remains strong, despite market concerns.

Nvidia's new Blackwell GPUs, which are set to launch later in the year, are anticipated to significantly outperform the current Hopper chips, offering higher speeds and greater energy efficiency.

Nvidia’s Strategic Position and Market Dominance:
Despite recent market volatility, Nvidia maintains a commanding market share in the AI chip sector.
The company's upcoming Blackwell architecture, named after mathematician David Harold Blackwell, is expected to drive future growth and strengthen its competitive edge.

Nvidia's Q2 revenue forecast stands at approximately $28 billion, demonstrating robust market demand even as new products await launch.

Supportive Market Trends:
AMD's strong Q2 results and increased full-year sales forecast for AI GPUs reflect a positive market environment for chipmakers.
Microsoft, Nvidia’s significant customer, reported substantial capital spending growth, indicating ongoing investment in AI infrastructure.

Stock Performance:
Nvidia shares rose by 10.75% in Wednesday afternoon trading, reaching $114.95 per share, marking the highest level in a week and a year-to-date gain of around 140%.

Overall, Nvidia’s strong market position, continued demand for its AI chips, and the upcoming launch of its Blackwell GPUs position the company for sustained growth despite recent setbacks.