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Oil Prices Hit $107 — Nigeria is Earning More Than Budgeted

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Chinyere

Active Member
Mar 23, 2026
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Nigeria budgeted for oil at $64.85 per barrel. The market just handed it something far bigger.
Brent crude has surged to over $107 per barrel, driven by the US-Israel-Iran conflict and disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. At current prices, Nigeria's gross daily oil revenue premium amounts to roughly $55.5 million per day — about $20.2 billion annually above budget projections. (PwC)
WTI crude has even spiked to $111.29 per barrel, inverting the typical global price structure as seaborne supply stress intensifies.
Every dollar above the benchmark is extra cash for the federation. But the same prices are pushing fuel costs higher for Nigerian consumers.

Nigeria is earning oil windfall revenue while citizens pay record fuel prices.
Should the government use the surplus to subsidise energy costs or pay down debt? What's the right call?