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What Happens To The Black Market?

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Chinyere

Active Member
Mar 23, 2026
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If IMTOs stop paying in dollars, many people who used to receive dollars and sell at parallel market may no longer have access to physical dollars.

Will this reduce black market demand and help the naira appreciate?
 
If IMTOs stop paying in dollars, many people who used to receive dollars and sell at parallel market may no longer have access to physical dollars.

Will this reduce black market demand and help the naira appreciate?
Yes, it likely would—but with some nuances. Here’s the breakdown:
Mechanism:
Currently, many Nigerians abroad send money in dollars through IMTOs. Recipients often sell those dollars on the parallel market to get naira at rates higher than the official rate.
If IMTOs start paying only in naira, those recipients no longer have dollars in hand to sell. This removes a portion of the demand for dollars on the black market.
Effect on black market:
With less physical dollars circulating, the parallel market demand could drop, which may ease pressure on the naira and slow its depreciation.
However, it doesn’t eliminate all dollar demand. Businesses and individuals still need dollars for imports, travel, and other transactions.
Caveats:
Some people might find alternative ways to access dollars (e.g., via friends abroad or less regulated channels).
If the naira remains overvalued officially or if dollar scarcity persists, black market activity might just shift rather than shrink.
Bottom line: Paying remittances in naira can reduce black market dollar demand somewhat, giving the naira temporary relief, but it’s not a guaranteed fix for long-term currency
If IMTOs stop paying in dollars, many people who used to receive dollars and sell at parallel market may no longer have access to physical dollars.

Will this reduce black market demand and help the naira appreciate?

stability.
 
Yes, it likely would—but with some nuances. Here’s the breakdown:
Mechanism:
Currently, many Nigerians abroad send money in dollars through IMTOs. Recipients often sell those dollars on the parallel market to get naira at rates higher than the official rate.
If IMTOs start paying only in naira, those recipients no longer have dollars in hand to sell. This removes a portion of the demand for dollars on the black market.
Effect on black market:
With less physical dollars circulating, the parallel market demand could drop, which may ease pressure on the naira and slow its depreciation.
However, it doesn’t eliminate all dollar demand. Businesses and individuals still need dollars for imports, travel, and other transactions.
Caveats:
Some people might find alternative ways to access dollars (e.g., via friends abroad or less regulated channels).
If the naira remains overvalued officially or if dollar scarcity persists, black market activity might just shift rather than shrink.
Bottom line: Paying remittances in naira can reduce black market dollar demand somewhat, giving the naira temporary relief, but it’s not a guaranteed fix for long-term currency


stability.
All things being equal... It is a plus to our economy, unfortunately nothing is guaranteed in my beloved country
 
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If IMTOs stop paying in dollars, many people who used to receive dollars and sell at parallel market may no longer have access to physical dollars.

Will this reduce black market demand and help the naira appreciate?
Yes, if IMTOs stop paying in dollars, it could reduce the demand for physical dollars on the black market. This might help ease some pressure on the naira and contribute to its appreciation. However, the effect will depend on how well the government can manage the supply of dollars through official channels, as people may still find ways to access foreign currency through other means.
 
Yes, it likely would—but with some nuances. Here’s the breakdown:
Mechanism:
Currently, many Nigerians abroad send money in dollars through IMTOs. Recipients often sell those dollars on the parallel market to get naira at rates higher than the official rate.
If IMTOs start paying only in naira, those recipients no longer have dollars in hand to sell. This removes a portion of the demand for dollars on the black market.
Effect on black market:
With less physical dollars circulating, the parallel market demand could drop, which may ease pressure on the naira and slow its depreciation.
However, it doesn’t eliminate all dollar demand. Businesses and individuals still need dollars for imports, travel, and other transactions.
Caveats:
Some people might find alternative ways to access dollars (e.g., via friends abroad or less regulated channels).
If the naira remains overvalued officially or if dollar scarcity persists, black market activity might just shift rather than shrink.
Bottom line: Paying remittances in naira can reduce black market dollar demand somewhat, giving the naira temporary relief, but it’s not a guaranteed fix for long-term currency


stability.
Yes, shifting remittances to naira could reduce black market demand for dollars, easing pressure on the naira temporarily. However, people may still find ways to access dollars, and if dollar scarcity continues, the parallel market might adapt. It’s not a long-term solution.
 
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Yes, shifting remittances to naira could reduce black market demand for dollars, easing pressure on the naira temporarily. However, people may still find ways to access dollars, and if dollar scarcity continues, the parallel market might adapt. It’s not a long-term solution.
At all. It is not a long term solution
 
Yes, probably for short term benefits or till after election, cause I know my country.

Yes, if IMTOs stop paying in dollars, it could reduce the demand for physical dollars on the black market. This might help ease some pressure on the naira and contribute to its appreciation. However, the effect will depend on how well the government can manage the supply of dollars through official channels, as people may still find ways to access foreign currency through other means.
It depends on how the government will manage it too
 
Absolutely. It will reduce black market demand which consequently will impact the naira positively.
If IMTOs stop paying in dollars, many people who used to receive dollars and sell at parallel market may no longer have access to physical dollars.

Will this reduce black market demand and help the naira appreciate?.
 
Yes, it likely would—but with some nuances. Here’s the breakdown:
Mechanism:
Currently, many Nigerians abroad send money in dollars through IMTOs. Recipients often sell those dollars on the parallel market to get naira at rates higher than the official rate.
If IMTOs start paying only in naira, those recipients no longer have dollars in hand to sell. This removes a portion of the demand for dollars on the black market.
Effect on black market:
With less physical dollars circulating, the parallel market demand could drop, which may ease pressure on the naira and slow its depreciation.
However, it doesn’t eliminate all dollar demand. Businesses and individuals still need dollars for imports, travel, and other transactions.
Caveats:
Some people might find alternative ways to access dollars (e.g., via friends abroad or less regulated channels).
If the naira remains overvalued officially or if dollar scarcity persists, black market activity might just shift rather than shrink.
Bottom line: Paying remittances in naira can reduce black market dollar demand somewhat, giving the naira temporary relief, but it’s not a guaranteed fix for long-term currency


stability.
I love this analysis and breakdown. It’s a win win situation for the Nigerian economy
 
You are right
Yes, if IMTOs stop paying in dollars, it could reduce the demand for physical dollars on the black market. This might help ease some pressure on the naira and contribute to its appreciation. However, the effect will depend on how well the government can manage the supply of dollars through official channels, as people may still find ways to access foreign currency through other means.
 
Yes, shifting remittances to naira could reduce black market demand for dollars, easing pressure on the naira temporarily. However, people may still find ways to access dollars, and if dollar scarcity continues, the parallel market might adapt. It’s not a long-term solution.
Yes. It’s hardly a long-term solution.